As Sean Fox illustrates with
figure 1, thus far, the population has continued to grow at an exponential
rate. In 1804, the population reached 1 billion. 211 years later, in July 2015,
the population was estimated to be at 7.3 billion. The population has increased
seven-fold since 1804. With this population explosion, came an exponential
increase in the level of urbanisation. However, population growth, coupled with higher concentrations of populations in urban
areas has combined to create a strain on resources. Supply of resources,
including water and services such as sanitation are struggling to keep up with
demand. This is how the water and sanitation crisis was born.
Falkenmark et al. (1989) described water scarcity as
conditions such that, renewable freshwater resources are below 1000m3/person/year. Charles
Vörösmarty et al. posit that water scarcity occurs when a ratio of estimated annual freshwater demand
to availability exceeds 0.4.
Here, Jonathan
Chenoweth illustrates the correlation between GDP per capita (PPP US$) and
total renewable water resources for the year 2000. As shown, there tends to be
a positive correlation; as GDP increases, so does total renewable water
resources. The scarcity paradigm questions whether there is a direct link
between water scarcity and access to water.
Chenoweth explores
a plethora of parameters that influence whether scarcity translates into access.
These factors may be physical, socio-economic or political. He concludes that socio-economic
development is the primary determinant of a country’s ability to meet its
population’s basic needs, not the natural environment.
As shown in
figure 1, the detonation of the population bomb led to rapid urbanisation. It
is for this reason that I have a particular interest in Africa’s urban
environments, especially megacities. Chenoweth’s assertion has also inspired me
to focus this blog around what is referred to as the ‘economic water
crisis’. In the following posts, I will address these issues:
- Indicators of national scarcity
- The link between scarcity and access
- The reality of the water and sanitation crisis in urban Africa
- The distribution of water and sanitation resources within Africa’s megacities
Very nice start to your blog entries. In blog 1 you did a very good job engaging with the debates from the Meadows article and offering your own critical review of this perspective. You have read very widely, and drawn upon an impressive range of supporting statistics to make your case - well done! I would advise to adopt a consistent reference style now in text, i.e. (Meadows et al., 1992), to save yourself some time for the final paper.
ReplyDeleteYou have done a nice job connecting your previous research to the conclusion that you would like to look closer at economic scarcity, and I look forward to watching that develop.
Interesting reading these facts. This will be an inspiring read. Something that will want me to help those in need!
ReplyDeleteI look forward to next posts